Global property investment volumes reach $1.5tn in H1

By Kasmira Jefford - Wednesday, October 04, 2017 6:06

The global property investment market saw volumes rise 4% year-on-year to US$1.5tn in the year to June, according to new research out today from Cushman & Wakefield.

‘Winning in Growth Cities’, an annual report examining global commercial real estate investment activity, ranks cities by their success at attracting capital.

During the 12 months to June, the top 25 cities globally accounted for almost half of the market but some sharp falls were seen in traditionally dominant cities. New York remained the most sought-after market for the sixth year running despite investment dropping 37%, while a 25% decrease saw London lose its top three status and Paris witnessed a 21% decline. A lack of available assets was a key factor in these declines.

Relative winners included San Francisco which entered the top three thanks to 4.5% growth and Hong Kong with 19%. At the same time, Tier 2 cities, such as Malmö, Nice and Osaka gained importance through increased international interest as investors cast their net more widely in search of better returns.

North America held its strong grip as the leading region for total investment, with 13 US cities ranked in the top 25 and six each from Europe and Asia Pacific. Cities in the latter region experienced some of the most dramatic growth. Seoul saw volumes increase by 98%, and Singapore 52%.

David Hutchings, Head of EMEA Investment Strategy, Cushman & Wakefield, and author of the report, said: “The strong global growth is perhaps something of a surprise given the headwinds faced by the market in 2016 but investor sentiment has definitely improved. With fears of a rise in populism taking a back seat, at least for the moment, globalisation in the real estate sector continues apace.

“The falls in activity seen in some leading cities reflect a lack of available opportunities more than fall in demand, but it is also true that rising prices are encouraging some investors to broader their horizons.

Fig 1: Top Cities for Investment. Source: Cushman & Wakefield, RCA

North America region

Growth was recorded in the majority of North American cities with San Antonio, Charlotte and Las Vegas in particular experiencing strong interest over the year. Despite the largest falls in the region coming from the cities ranked in the top 50 globally - New York, San Diego and Denver saw falls of -37%, -30% and -23% respectively - some of the big players in the US did see growth, including Dallas, Houston and Austin.

EMEA region

Central and Eastern European capitals fared best in terms of overall growth with volume growth in Prague, Budapest and Sofia in particular outpacing Western European cities. Similarly, confidence grew in Athens, albeit from a low base, with volumes reaching a 10-year peak.

Ten of the top 25 global cities attracting international investment were in Europe with London, Paris, Amsterdam and Berlin all in the top 5. A number of German cities rose up the rankings with Berlin moving up two places and Frankfurt climbing nine places over the year to rank within the top 10 recipients of cross border capital. Interest in Frankfurt was particularly notable among investors from Asia and the Middle East with volumes up 461% and 132% respectively.

For the first time in four years, European capital was the greatest source of total cross border investment, surpassing even North America.

Asia-Pacific region

More than half of cities in the APAC region reported negative growth with capital cities across the region including Sydney, Kuala Lumpur, Beijing and Taipei undergoing steep declines. Despite this, Asian cities increased their global market share over the year and increased their presence within the top 50. The strongest growth in region came from those cities experiencing rapid economic development, with Myanmar especially documenting impressive expansion.

kjefford@costar.co.uk

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